Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +11 (74-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AC Bryant * | 30 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Iaroslav Niagu * | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -0.0 |
| Jaye Nash * | 20 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 3 | -0.0 |
| Bencao Vungo * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +0.1 |
| Jacoby Hill * | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Mostapha El Moutaouakkil | 25 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 10-16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +3.0 |
| Toby Nnadozie | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +4.0 |
| Emondrek Erkins-Ford | 19 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 11 | +3.0 |
| Jamar Franklin | 16 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | +1.0 |
| Marcus Fitzgerald Jr. | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.0 |
| Connor Loy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Harmon * | 31 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - |
| Chandler Jackson * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +5.0 |
| Aly Tounkara * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 4 | -2.1 |
| R. Smith * | 18 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +4.0 |
| Jalen Hampton | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | -5.0 |
| K. Hayman | 24 | 2-9 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| TJ Caldwell | 22 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Chudi Dioramma | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.0 |
* = starter