Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.6% | 71.4% | +5.0 | ✓ (3.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +8 (90-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Davis * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | -4.7 |
| Peter Bandelj * | 34 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 9-10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | -5.1 |
| Kieran Elliott * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -4.9 |
| Cayden Ward * | 25 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Troy Plumtree * | 21 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8.8 |
| Ali Assran | 18 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | +2.4 |
| Guzman Vasilic | 16 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| Jason Scott | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Aaron Price Jr. | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Austin Goode | 7 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +1.8 |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Isaak * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 7-8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 19 | +6.0 |
| Money Williams * | 29 | 11-18 | 4-8 | 5-6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 21 | -3.4 |
| Te'Jon Sawyer * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -2.3 |
| Kenyon Aguino * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | +10.6 |
| Tyler Thompson * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | +11.5 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 32 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +3.5 |
| Chase Henderson | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Courtney Anderson | 9 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | +5.2 |
| Connor Dick | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -12.9 |
* = starter