Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | Saint Mary's Gaels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.8 | ✓ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Saint Mary's Gaels +31 (80-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Je'Shawn Stevenson * | 26 | 4-13 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 7 | - |
| David Terrell Jr. * | 25 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | -12.1 |
| Reece Robinson * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14.1 |
| Dylan Arnett * | 18 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -5 | -15.4 |
| Demarion Watson * | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Josiah Shackleford | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -6.6 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -9.5 |
| EJ Horton | 16 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -2.7 |
| Cahmai Crosby | 16 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -11.7 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Cole Franklin | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.4 |
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Dent * | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +26.6 |
| Paulius Murauskas * | 26 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | +13.4 |
| Mikey Lewis * | 26 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 12 | +19.8 |
| Andrew McKeever * | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | +7.1 |
| Kevin Gad * | 12 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +6.4 |
| Liam Campbell | 20 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | +18.1 |
| Harry Wessels | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | +15.5 |
| Tony Duckett | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -0.8 |
| Dillan Shaw | 14 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +9.2 |
| Rory Hawke | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Mantas Juzenas | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -0.2 |
| Cade Bennett | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
| Oliver Faubert | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter