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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model Colgate Raiders UAlbany Great Danes Spread Result
Elo 53.4% 46.6% -
Bradley-Terry 74.7% 25.3% -
Margin 72.1% 27.9% -5.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 59.9% 40.1% -
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% -
Log Adjusted 78.5% 21.5% -
Points Off/Def 59.8% 40.2% -

Actual: UAlbany Great Danes -2 (67-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colgate Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Cox * 37 7-15 1-4 2-3 5 7 2 0 4 17 12 +2.6
A. Alekseyenko * 27 2-7 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 4 4 +7.5
S. Wright * 23 7-12 1-5 1-3 6 2 0 0 1 16 11 -7.8
B. Cummins * 19 2-8 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 0 -4.5
B. Tweedy * 17 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 3 3 -15.7
K. Carlesimo 26 5-9 5-9 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 15 7 +13.9
J. Ahayere 21 3-5 1-2 0-2 5 1 0 0 0 7 8 +5.2
A. Odetoyinbo 17 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 1 1 2 1 2 6 +8.3
C. Wright 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 0 6 -7.7

UAlbany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Lindsey * 37 6-10 4-4 0-0 5 5 2 0 3 16 15 +4.3
J. Kempson * 35 3-9 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 7 2 -1.8
O. Okeke * 31 7-11 0-0 1-2 3 2 1 1 1 15 10 +6.7
I. Abidde * 30 4-9 1-4 0-1 5 0 2 0 2 9 5 +10.9
Z. Matulu * 29 5-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 11 10 +1.1
N. Muhammad 12 1-5 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 3 -0.8
M. Taylor 10 1-5 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -11.5
M. Rose 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.7
Y. Keita 8 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -7.8

* = starter