Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.2% | 7.8% | -13.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 83.7% | 16.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 92.8% | 7.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners -23 (58-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Arnett | 30 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 17 | - |
| C. Franklin | 28 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Stevenson | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 14 | - |
| D. Terrell Jr. | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| R. Robinson | 23 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| C. Crosby | 21 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Watson | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| E. Horton | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Stinson Jr. | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Simpson | 35 | 7-16 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| B. Moss | 34 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| A. Nunez | 31 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | - |
| B. Njie | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| LJ Brown | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| D. Akitoby | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Rayfield | 17 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Mo Njie | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Coffi | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter