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2026-01-28

Model Predictions

Model Rice Owls East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
Elo 45.6% 54.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% - โœ—
Margin 40.0% 60.0% +2.2 โœ— (8.2 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 48.0% 52.0% - โœ—

Actual: East Carolina Pirates -6 (77-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Rice Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Smith 35 8-16 5-11 0-0 3 1 1 0 5 21 5 -0.8
Nick Anderson 34 7-11 4-7 1-2 3 2 1 0 1 19 13 +9.7
Trae Broadnax 32 6-11 1-6 3-6 10 3 1 0 3 16 16 -1.2
Cam Carroll 29 4-8 1-2 5-6 4 5 2 0 2 14 15 +2.8
Eternity Eguagie 26 2-7 1-2 4-5 4 1 0 1 1 9 7 -4.4
Jimmy Oladokun Jr. 21 1-3 0-0 1-4 8 1 0 0 0 3 9 -2.0
Trey Patterson 11 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 +2.0
Andrew Akuchie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 +4.0
Stephen Giwa 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -0.1
Bodey Howell 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +3.0

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Riley 36 14-29 2-8 7-8 4 1 1 1 3 37 12 -0.8
Giovanni Emejuru 36 2-3 0-0 9-10 6 1 2 0 1 13 18 -2.2
Corey Caulker 33 1-9 0-4 1-2 4 9 0 0 1 3 6 -4.3
Demitri Gardner 32 5-11 2-3 4-4 4 2 1 0 1 16 11 -0.8
Isaiah Mbeng 27 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 +2.6
Reid Cason 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 0 1 2 7 -9.1
Eli DeLaurier 12 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 -1.9
Luke Davis 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +2.0
Patrick D'Arcy 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -1.0

* = starter