Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.8 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.7% | 73.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +19 (81-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamir Simpson | 33 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | -16.5 |
| Austin Nunez | 29 | 3-14 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | -3 | +5.7 |
| Dorian Hayes | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -7.6 |
| Baboucarr Njie | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 8 | -7.7 |
| Brent Moss | 25 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -17.9 |
| Matheo Coffi | 18 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | +0.5 |
| Kaidon Rayfield | 14 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -7.2 |
| LJ Brown | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -17.8 |
| Mo Njie | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.6 |
| Daniel Akitoby | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -4.7 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Arnett | 33 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +15.1 |
| Je'Shawn Stevenson | 31 | 10-19 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 15 | - |
| Cole Franklin | 30 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | +5.2 |
| David Terrell Jr. | 26 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 5-11 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 21 | +13.5 |
| Reece Robinson | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +3.7 |
| Demarion Watson | 16 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +10.3 |
| Curtis Stinson Jr. | 14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
| Cahmai Crosby | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.6 |
| Buddy Hammer Jr. | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| EJ Horton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
* = starter