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2026-01-21

Model Predictions

Model East Carolina Pirates Wichita State Shockers Spread Result
Elo 8.5% 91.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% - โœ“
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.2 โœ“ (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 20.8% 79.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.1% 66.9% - โœ“

Actual: Wichita State Shockers +17 (77-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Riley 36 5-18 0-4 5-9 3 3 1 0 1 15 3 -2.6
Demitri Gardner 31 6-10 1-3 1-1 2 0 1 0 1 14 6 -14.9
Corey Caulker 30 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 1 3 4 -0.5
Giovanni Emejuru 30 4-11 0-0 3-5 11 0 1 4 0 11 16 -12.3
Isaiah Mbeng 21 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 7 4 -5.5
Eli DeLaurier 14 1-4 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 2 -0.2
Vito Perkovic 14 1-6 0-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 0 +2.6
Tybo Bailey 12 0-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -9.6
Reid Cason 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -12.9
Patrick D'Arcy 2 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -0.8
Luke Davis 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3.7

Wichita State Shockers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenyon Giles 37 9-19 5-15 4-4 3 3 3 0 4 27 13 +11.4
Karon Boyd 34 5-10 1-6 1-2 5 2 0 0 1 12 8 +24.6
Michael Gray Jr. 30 4-12 3-9 1-2 4 4 0 0 0 12 8 +7.9
TJ Williams 22 1-7 0-0 2-5 7 1 0 0 0 4 5 -3.5
Will Berg 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 9 0 0 2 0 4 13 +8.9
Dillon Battie 18 4-6 0-1 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 10 12 +16.2
Emmanuel Okorafor 14 2-2 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 6 10 +7.5
Dre Kindell 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 +4.6
Brian Amuneke 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 -9.1
Noah Hill 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 0 0 -4.0
Henry Thengvall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.1

* = starter