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2026-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers East Carolina Pirates Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 66.6% 33.4% - βœ“
Margin 59.5% 40.5% -2.1 βœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 63.0% 37.0% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% - βœ“

Actual: East Carolina Pirates -3 (70-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Bradford 31 4-6 1-3 3-4 4 0 0 1 3 12 8 -2.7
Dezayne Mingo 27 4-8 2-3 6-7 7 4 0 0 3 16 16 +5.7
Arden Conyers 26 5-9 2-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 12 5 -0.4
Jarne Elouna Eyenga 23 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 1 2 3 2 +8.1
Spencer Elliott 23 4-8 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 2 +0.8
Anton Bonke 22 5-8 0-2 2-2 8 3 0 1 2 12 14 -9.7
Damoni Harrison 16 3-3 3-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 9 9 +5.4
Major Freeman 14 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 0 2 -7.3
Ethan Butler 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 +3.7
Nick Richart 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -2.1
Kylan Blackmon 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.2
RaΓΊl Villar 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.0

East Carolina Pirates

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Corey Caulker 39 4-7 3-4 3-4 5 6 2 0 2 14 18 -0.5
Jordan Riley 38 9-23 1-4 4-5 3 4 3 0 0 23 10 -1.2
Giovanni Emejuru 37 3-7 0-0 1-3 6 0 0 3 0 7 9 -0.4
Reid Cason 27 2-4 0-1 3-4 4 1 1 1 1 7 9 +1.4
Demitri Gardner 20 5-10 1-2 1-2 2 1 2 1 0 12 8 +8.6
Tybo Bailey 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -4.8
Eli DeLaurier 11 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 4 1 -2.7
Isaiah Mbeng 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.8
Vito Perkovic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.1
Luke Davis 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.0

* = starter