Model Predictions
| Model | UAB Blazers | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.6% | 74.4% | +4.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.6% | 53.4% | +0.7 | ✗ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.0% | 43.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -3 (76-79). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Molly Moffitt * | 44 | 9-22 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 20 | +6.1 |
| Monae' Duffy * | 42 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 10 | -1.5 |
| Cali Smallwood * | 41 | 4-9 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | +2.3 |
| Eleecia Carter * | 40 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | +4.2 |
| Sofia Munoz * | 40 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | +2.3 |
| Journey Armstead | 9 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -4.3 |
| Jordan Rosier | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5.7 |
| Ashlyn Howard | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejah Richmond * | 43 | 9-24 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 4 | -0.3 |
| Tamya Smith * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 16 | -3.6 |
| Kennedi Alexander * | 36 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -8.6 |
| Cori Allen * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | +6.1 |
| Amauri Williams * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6.5 |
| Jordan Hunter | 31 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | +5.4 |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 21 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Bailey Gilmore | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1.1 |
| Brooklynn Charlo | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -0.7 |
* = starter