Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | Charlotte 49ers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.0% | 29.0% | -13.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.1% | 17.9% | -8.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.4% | 9.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.4% | 12.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.6% | 33.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte 49ers -7 (56-63). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victoria Flores * | 39 | 0-8 | 0-4 | 7-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | -0.7 |
| Dominique Ennis * | 38 | 10-15 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 13 | -13.0 |
| Shelby Hayes * | 34 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | +0.7 |
| Aniah Alexis * | 31 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +1.2 |
| Hailey Adams * | 29 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| Louann Battiston | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -8.3 |
| Myah Hazelton | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6.1 |
| Kennedy Clifton | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.9 |
| Jordin Blackmon | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.7 |
Charlotte 49ers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanajah Hayes * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +7.8 |
| Ja'Navia Gage * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Asianae Nicholson * | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Karen Nimo * | 16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -9.0 |
| Imani Smith * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.3 |
| Zoe Best | 32 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | +11.5 |
| Princess Anderson | 28 | 10-18 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 8 | +16.6 |
| Caroline Thiel | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +4.8 |
| Caitlin Staley | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +4.8 |
* = starter