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2026-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte 49ers Florida Atlantic Owls Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 48.1% 51.9% - โœ—
Margin 68.1% 31.9% -4.2 โœ“ (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 62.8% 37.2% - โœ“
Efficiency 71.3% 28.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 81.4% 18.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 81.6% 18.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“

Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -1 (56-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte 49ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hayes 37 4-11 1-4 0-0 2 6 3 0 0 9 9 -
P. Anderson 32 8-21 1-4 3-7 2 2 3 1 0 20 7 -
I. Smith 29 2-7 1-3 0-0 5 2 2 0 2 5 5 -
Z. Best 28 0-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 3 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Gage 26 4-7 0-0 1-1 8 0 0 0 2 9 8 -
Asianae Nicholson 25 1-4 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 2 5 -
C. Staley 10 5-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 10 7 -
C. Thiel 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
K. Nimo 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Henderson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Cornish 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Grace Carstensen 31 3-5 3-5 2-2 3 1 0 1 1 11 10 -
Erin Rodgers 30 4-9 2-2 2-2 8 0 0 1 4 12 8 -
M. Gewirtz 28 2-5 0-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
Jess Moors 28 3-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 5 6 3 -
Michiyah Simmons 26 3-11 1-5 0-0 2 2 4 0 3 7 1 -
Ineivi Plata 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 2 3 -
V. Onugha 21 4-9 0-0 3-3 7 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
Haley Walker 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 3 4 -

* = starter