Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.1% | 11.9% | -23.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.4% | 8.6% | -13.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.6% | 25.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers -17 (65-82). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Ennis * | 37 | 7-11 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 16 | +9.5 |
| Hailey Adams * | 36 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 21 | +6.1 |
| Victoria Flores * | 35 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 12 | +23.3 |
| Aniah Alexis * | 29 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Shelby Hayes * | 25 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 15 | +17.3 |
| Louann Battiston | 16 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | +8.3 |
| Myah Hazelton | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Jordin Blackmon | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -5.3 |
| Kennedy Clifton | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.3 |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cori Allen * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Jordan Hunter * | 34 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 1 | -21.1 |
| Daejah Richmond * | 32 | 6-15 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | -6.1 |
| Tamya Smith * | 25 | 6-13 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -14.5 |
| Amauri Williams * | 24 | 2-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | -12.9 |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +4.0 |
| Kennedi Alexander | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -5.3 |
| Chae Harris | 7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -0.8 |
| Bailey Gilmore | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3.7 |
| JahNaesia Spiers | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +9.3 |
| Brooklynn Charlo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.6 |
* = starter