Model Predictions
| Model | North Texas Mean Green | UTSA Roadrunners | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.9% | 50.1% | +0.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 71.5% | 28.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UTSA Roadrunners +2 (66-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Spencer | 30 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +7.6 |
| M. Chase | 29 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | +12.4 |
| M. Nestor | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 16 | -4.3 |
| A. Proctor | 27 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -6 | -1.2 |
| A. Schissler | 23 | 4-9 | 4-5 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | +7.7 |
| C. Price | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
| Tionna Lidge | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -11.9 |
| Jazzy owens-Barnett | 14 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -13.6 |
| S. Thornton | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +4.9 |
| J. Talley | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.0 |
| A. Rickman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.4 |
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Rowe | 33 | 12-18 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 21 | +0.6 |
| E. Hardaway | 30 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -4.2 |
| D. Allen | 29 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +4.8 |
| M. Hammonds | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 11 | +9.6 |
| J. Holiman | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +8.3 |
| A. Robles | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +0.4 |
| E. Dannebauer | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +9.1 |
| S. Bean | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -1.8 |
| I. Udo | 9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | -9.7 |
| S. Guttadauro | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
* = starter