Model Predictions
| Model | UTSA Roadrunners | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -7.0 | ✗ (19.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.6% | 31.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +12 (52-40). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UTSA Roadrunners
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Hardaway | 37 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 6-9 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 13 | -9.6 |
| C. Rowe | 33 | 4-14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | -6.4 |
| M. Hammonds | 29 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -3.3 |
| A. Robles | 27 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +4.0 |
| D. Allen | 22 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | -6.4 |
| E. Dannebauer | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2.7 |
| S. Bean | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -0.4 |
| S. Guttadauro | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5.6 |
| J. Holiman | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.5 |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daejah Richmond | 38 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 13 | +9.7 |
| Cori Allen | 36 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +4.9 |
| Tamya Smith | 32 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +13.0 |
| Amauri Williams | 30 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 6 | +10.3 |
| Jordan Hunter | 30 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +1.5 |
| Chae Harris | 17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | +8.0 |
| Brooklyn Alexander | 9 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1.7 |
| JahNaesia Spiers | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
| Kennedi Alexander | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.0 |
| Bailey Gilmore | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.1 |
* = starter