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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model South Florida Bulls Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 78.7% 21.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.3% 20.7% - โœ“
Margin 92.0% 8.0% -13.4 โœ“ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 66.5% 33.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 82.4% 17.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 94.1% 5.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 94.2% 5.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 74.9% 25.1% - โœ“

Actual: Memphis Tigers -9 (81-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.

South Florida Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stefanie Ingram 36 3-6 2-3 0-4 1 13 1 0 4 8 13 -11.4
Katie Davidson 33 6-13 2-5 6-6 1 3 0 1 2 20 10 -18.7
Carla Brito 32 6-10 0-1 2-2 8 4 3 1 1 14 19 -7.5
Edyn Battle 30 6-15 0-0 4-4 2 4 1 0 1 16 7 -9.3
L'or Mputu 27 7-11 0-0 1-3 8 0 1 0 2 15 11 -9.2
Fatou Diakite 13 4-8 0-0 2-2 8 0 0 1 2 10 9 -9.7
Jelena Bulajic 12 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 4 5 -3 -2.0
Kirsten Lewis-Williams 9 1-2 0-0 0-1 1 0 2 0 0 2 3 -11.7
I. Pipe 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 4 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daejah Richmond 34 10-16 0-0 4-4 7 6 1 0 5 24 17 +26.0
Tamya Smith 32 4-15 0-1 4-6 4 1 3 3 4 12 4 +16.3
Cori Allen 31 4-6 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 8 8 +21.2
Jordan Hunter 28 1-5 0-1 0-2 2 2 1 0 0 2 2 +12.1
Paris Gaines 24 2-7 0-1 4-4 8 0 3 1 2 8 11 +9.6
Chae Harris 18 5-12 2-5 1-3 2 0 0 1 0 13 4 +1.4
Kennedi Alexander 15 2-4 0-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 5 6 +12.4
Brooklyn Alexander 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 +4.8
Amauri Williams 5 3-4 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 +4.3
JahNaesia Spiers 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 +2.5

* = starter