Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.9% | 12.1% | -10.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -9 (63-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Falslev | 39 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 4-6 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 17 | +1.2 |
| MJ Collins | 34 | 9-16 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 5 | +8.9 |
| Karson Templin | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | +12.3 |
| Kolby King | 21 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Drake Allen | 21 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -0.8 |
| Elijah Perryman | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | +9.5 |
| Adlan Elamin | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +4.7 |
| Zach Keller | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -2.3 |
| Garry Clark | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.9 |
| Tucker Anderson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Jordy Barnes | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Heidbreder | 38 | 7-19 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 5 | -3.1 |
| Wilson Jacques | 33 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | +0.7 |
| DeShawn Gory | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 13 | +3.2 |
| Zaon Collins | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3 | -9.5 |
| Bastien Rieber | 26 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +8.1 |
| Cameron Faas | 18 | 1-7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | -0.6 |
| David Douglas Jr. | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.2 |
| DJ Stickman | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.9 |
| Gasper Kocevar | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
| Makhan Diouf | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
* = starter