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2025-11-28

Model Predictions

Model UIC Flames Maine Black Bears Spread Result
Elo 9.6% 90.4% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 18.7% 81.3% - โœ—
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 โœ— (15.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.6% 56.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 38.7% 61.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 38.9% 61.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—

Actual: Maine Black Bears -10 (54-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julia Coleman 36 10-18 0-0 4-5 7 2 3 3 3 24 18 +15.3
Sara Zabrecky 36 2-4 2-4 2-2 6 2 0 0 2 8 10 +16.4
T. Clayton 35 3-10 0-0 6-9 1 3 1 0 3 12 4 +15.3
Magdalena Winter 33 5-8 0-0 0-1 10 2 0 1 2 10 13 +12.1
Samantha Serrano 19 3-9 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 6 -3 +10.0
London Walker-George 16 0-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 0 1 1 3 +7.3
Grace Harris 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -1.1
Crystal Ortiz 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 0 2 -3.3
Marissa Green 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.0

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Blauenfeldt 40 5-13 2-7 2-2 2 1 0 1 1 14 4 -9.8
A. Smith 33 5-12 0-1 2-2 8 5 4 1 6 12 12 -11.8
E. Streams 33 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 2 1 0 0 3 6 -6.5
K. Sain 29 1-4 0-3 7-7 3 0 0 0 1 9 7 -23.0
S. Talon 25 4-10 0-3 1-2 7 1 5 0 5 9 7 +2.3
L. Gruber 16 2-4 1-1 0-2 5 1 0 0 1 5 6 -11.8
A. Price 8 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 +6.5
O. Alvarez 7 0-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -6.6
A. Donaldson 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
M. Fitzpatrick 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 +0.4

* = starter