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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Arizona Wildcats Houston Cougars Spread Result
Elo 55.0% 45.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 63.2% 36.8% - โœ“
Margin 55.0% 45.0% -1.1 โœ“ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 50.9% 49.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 55.9% 44.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% - โœ“

Actual: Houston Cougars -7 (66-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ivan Kharchenkov 39 5-11 1-3 5-6 9 3 1 0 1 16 17 +14.4
Jaden Bradley 37 6-17 0-3 5-10 4 4 1 0 1 17 8 +14.1
Anthony Dell'Orso 34 8-14 2-5 4-6 3 0 4 0 0 22 15 +6.3
Brayden Burries 31 1-5 0-1 5-8 4 2 0 0 0 7 8 +8.2
Motiejus Krivas 25 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 1 0 4 9 +17.1
Tobe Awaka 17 3-5 0-0 1-1 6 0 1 0 2 7 7 +12.8
Evan Nelson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.7
Sidi Gueye 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -2.2

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Milos Uzan 38 3-8 3-5 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 9 4 -8.3
Emanuel Sharp 34 2-11 2-8 8-9 3 1 2 0 1 14 8 -10.4
Chris Cenac Jr 33 4-11 0-5 2-2 13 1 0 0 3 10 10 -8.1
Kingston Flemings 33 6-17 1-4 4-4 8 4 0 0 2 17 10 -1.8
Kalifa Sakho 20 0-0 0-0 2-4 3 0 0 2 1 2 6 -10.1
Joseph Tugler 18 3-4 0-0 1-1 4 3 0 1 3 7 8 +0.8
Isiah Harwell 13 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -0.3
Chase McCarty 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 +2.5
Mercy Miller 3 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -3.1
Cedric Lath 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1
Ramon Walker Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter