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2026-02-21

Model Predictions

Model Arizona State Sun Devils Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 47.3% 52.7% -
Bradley-Terry 46.8% 53.2% -
Margin 22.9% 77.1% +6.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 37.5% 62.5% -
Efficiency 78.4% 21.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.3% 69.7% -
Log Adjusted 29.7% 70.3% -
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Baylor Bears +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Meeusen 36 1-9 1-6 0-0 8 2 2 0 1 3 5 -3.0
M. Odum 36 4-11 3-9 1-2 2 3 1 0 4 12 3 -3.3
M. Diop 33 5-12 0-1 0-0 10 0 0 1 2 10 7 -6.3
A. Johnson 28 6-11 0-2 8-10 2 3 3 0 1 20 16 -0.4
S. Trouet 27 2-6 0-0 3-4 5 2 1 0 1 7 8 -7.5
A. Grbović 22 2-2 2-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 6 3 -
A. Mukeba 18 5-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 10 9 +5.9

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Yessoufou 35 6-14 2-7 2-7 3 1 1 0 3 16 4 +0.6
I. Williams IV 35 6-9 0-1 2-3 1 5 1 0 1 14 11 +2.2
C. Carr 35 5-10 1-5 2-2 3 4 2 0 2 13 10 +14.6
O. Agbim 32 6-8 4-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 16 13 +0.7
C. Powell 30 4-5 0-0 0-1 7 1 1 0 2 8 10 +13.8
D. Skillings Jr. 21 1-3 1-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 1 3 4 -4.1
J. Nnaji 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -
M. Rataj 6 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 1 -6.1

* = starter