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2026-02-17

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 50.9% 49.1% -
Bradley-Terry 62.2% 37.8% -
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 (20.6 off)
Pythagorean 56.9% 43.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 73.4% 26.6% -
Log Adjusted 73.6% 26.4% -
Points Off/Def 57.8% 42.2% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats +16 (90-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Yessoufou 37 6-14 1-4 1-1 7 1 2 0 0 14 10 -
C. Carr 36 5-12 0-5 2-2 5 0 3 3 7 12 4 -
O. Agbim 32 4-13 0-5 0-0 4 3 4 0 2 8 4 -
I. Williams IV 30 6-11 0-2 4-4 3 6 1 0 4 16 11 -
C. Powell 24 2-3 0-0 3-6 5 1 0 1 1 7 10 -
D. Skillings Jr. 21 2-8 2-6 5-6 8 1 0 0 2 11 10 -
M. Rataj 15 2-7 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 4 -3 -
J. Nnaji 5 1-2 0-0 0-2 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Johnson 39 11-16 5-8 6-6 5 9 6 0 6 33 31 -
D. Castillo 38 2-9 0-3 3-4 1 1 3 0 4 7 -1 -
P.J. Haggerty 38 15-23 1-2 3-4 5 3 2 0 2 34 19 -
T. Manning 31 0-1 0-0 0-0 8 2 0 0 1 0 8 -
K. McGriff 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 2 1 4 5 -
A. Kostic 12 2-5 2-4 1-2 0 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
D. Buca 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 2 1 -
CJ Jones 10 1-2 0-0 1-1 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -

* = starter