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2026-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 69.6% 30.4% -
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% -
Margin 67.7% 32.3% -4.1 (24.9 off)
Pythagorean 59.5% 40.5% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.4% 25.6% -
Log Adjusted 74.3% 25.7% -
Points Off/Def 57.4% 42.6% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -29 (62-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. James 32 9-14 6-8 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 24 13 -
B. Miller 31 4-10 2-2 6-8 12 6 1 4 2 16 27 -
D. Thomas 28 4-8 2-5 0-0 3 7 2 0 1 10 13 -
J. Celestine 27 6-8 4-6 2-3 5 0 3 0 0 18 18 -
S. Harris 24 4-9 1-4 3-3 3 2 0 0 2 12 6 -
H. Dzellat 23 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
T. McKinley 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Tillery 12 0-2 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 1 4 2 1 -
J. Rodriguez 6 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
G. Darbyshire 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Haggerty 38 11-18 1-2 1-2 3 2 2 0 0 24 13 -
N. Johnson 32 2-8 0-3 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 6 3 -
D. Castillo 31 3-12 2-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 8 -4 -
T. Manning 30 1-3 0-0 0-0 9 4 2 2 2 2 14 -
K. McGriff 23 2-3 0-1 3-5 3 0 0 0 4 7 3 -
M. Johnson 18 2-9 2-7 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 -3 -
CJ Jones 16 2-6 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
D. Buca 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 4 4 -

* = starter