Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas Jayhawks | Kansas State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.4% | 22.6% | -11.1 | ✓ (12.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.3% | 19.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 68.5% | 31.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -24 (62-86). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Kansas Jayhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melvin Council Jr. * | 38 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 21 | +15.4 |
| Tre White * | 37 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 10 | +9.4 |
| Flory Bidunga * | 33 | 10-13 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 21 | +28.9 |
| Bryson Tiller * | 27 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +15.8 |
| Jamari McDowell * | 23 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -13.9 |
| Elmarko Jackson | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 7-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 15 | +15.8 |
| Jayden Dawson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.6 |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P.J. Haggerty * | 39 | 6-17 | 1-2 | 10-12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 14 | -10.3 |
| David Castillo * | 37 | 3-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1 | -9.1 |
| Nate Johnson * | 35 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Dorin Buca * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | +0.0 |
| Taj Manning * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -8.7 |
| Andrej Kostic | 23 | 4-7 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -4.5 |
| CJ Jones | 13 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -12.4 |
| Marcus Johnson | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -8.7 |
* = starter