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2026-01-11

Model Predictions

Model Cincinnati Bearcats UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Margin 48.2% 51.8% +0.4 โœ“ (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% - โœ“

Actual: UCF Knights +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jizzle James 35 7-14 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 14 2 +1.3
D. Thomas 34 3-8 1-3 0-2 4 4 1 1 0 7 9 -0.4
Moustapha Thiam 31 10-15 1-2 3-3 5 0 1 0 0 24 15 +0.6
Baba Miller 29 6-11 0-1 1-1 7 4 2 2 1 13 16 +6.8
Jalen Celestine 27 2-7 1-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 5 2 -1.8
Sencire Harris 26 2-8 0-3 1-2 3 6 3 0 0 5 9 +1.0
Tyler McKinley 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +1.1
Shon Abaev 6 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -9.9
Keyshuan Tillery 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 1 +1.0
Halvine Dzellat 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.0

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Riley Kugel 35 7-10 2-4 3-4 5 6 0 0 2 19 18 -6.0
Themus Fulks 35 3-7 0-0 0-0 2 12 0 0 3 6 10 -0.7
Jamichael Stillwell 34 7-13 0-2 1-1 4 0 0 0 3 15 3 +1.3
Jeremy Foumena 30 6-8 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 0 1 12 11 +3.4
Chris Johnson 26 3-4 2-3 2-2 1 1 1 0 0 10 9 +7.7
Jordan Burks 17 2-4 2-4 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 7 5 -5.4
Dev. Cambridge 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 1 +8.4
John Bol 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 2 3 +1.0
George Beale Jr. 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +2.0
Kris Parker 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

* = starter