Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.2% | 20.8% | -11.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears -22 (55-77). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Sharp * | 30 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 11 | +12.2 |
| Milos Uzan * | 27 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +8.7 |
| Kingston Flemings * | 26 | 5-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +12.8 |
| Joseph Tugler * | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | +22.1 |
| Chris Cenac Jr * | 23 | 4-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +20.6 |
| Isiah Harwell | 24 | 4-14 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +8.9 |
| Kalifa Sakho | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | -5.2 |
| Chase McCarty | 14 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.3 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +6.0 |
| Mercy Miller | 7 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -4.9 |
| Cedric Lath | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.8 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Carr * | 34 | 3-9 | 3-6 | 9-16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 18 | 12 | -9.5 |
| Obi Agbim * | 32 | 2-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -4.6 |
| Tounde Yessoufou * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 6 | -19.1 |
| Michael Rataj * | 28 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -8.6 |
| Caden Powell * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Isaac Williams | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | +1.1 |
| James Nnaji | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -17.4 |
| Dan Skillings Jr. | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -2.7 |
* = starter