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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 77.4% 22.6% -
Bradley-Terry 76.4% 23.6% -
Margin 82.6% 17.4% -8.6 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 56.5% 43.5% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 90.1% 9.9% -
Log Adjusted 90.2% 9.8% -
Points Off/Def 67.5% 32.5% -

Actual: Baylor Bears -22 (55-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Sharp 30 6-14 3-9 2-2 5 2 1 0 0 17 11 +16.0
M. Uzan 27 1-10 0-5 4-4 4 5 1 0 1 6 5 +11.7
K. Flemings 26 5-12 0-3 0-0 2 7 0 1 1 10 7 +16.0
I. Harwell 24 4-14 4-12 0-2 3 0 1 2 0 12 4 +12.4
J. Tugler 24 5-8 0-0 2-5 11 0 1 0 1 12 15 +25.2
C. Cenac Jr. 23 4-5 3-3 0-0 4 1 1 1 1 11 12 +24.3
C. McCarty 14 0-5 0-5 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 0 2 +1.6
K. Sakho 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 0 4 7 -3.7
R. Walker Jr. 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 +5.8
M. Miller 7 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 5 4 -4.2
C. Lath 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.0

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carr 34 3-9 3-6 9-16 4 0 0 2 3 18 12 -19.3
O. Agbim 32 2-8 2-5 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 6 4 -11.2
T. Yessoufou 28 3-6 1-3 4-4 6 2 0 0 7 11 6 -24.7
M. Rataj 28 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 6 4 -15.2
I. Williams IV 26 1-3 0-0 0-2 2 5 1 1 2 2 6 -0.3
C. Powell 21 1-1 0-0 2-5 3 0 0 0 1 4 5 +0.6
J. Nnaji 17 1-2 0-0 1-2 7 1 0 1 0 3 10 -
D. Skillings Jr. 14 2-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 5 -1 -5.9

* = starter