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2026-01-10

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 27.6% 72.4% -
Bradley-Terry 22.5% 77.5% -
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.7 (1.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.6% 53.4% -
Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.2% 64.8% -
Log Adjusted 35.6% 64.4% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +3 (87-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Haggerty 38 7-19 3-7 8-12 3 3 1 0 6 25 7 -2.7
A. Bashir Jr. 35 8-16 6-12 0-1 2 4 1 0 1 22 12 +5.2
N. Johnson 26 2-6 1-4 2-2 2 3 1 0 3 7 4 -3.1
D. Castillo 26 1-7 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 3 2 -3.8
E. Rapieque 21 3-6 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 8 3 -1.2
T. Manning 20 1-2 0-1 4-4 4 0 3 2 0 6 13 -9.5
D. Buca 19 2-5 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 1 0 5 10 -3.0
K. McGriff 14 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 5 +4.3
A. Kostic 1 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +1.0
E. Wilson 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
CJ Jones 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Odum 38 8-17 2-7 3-4 1 4 0 0 7 21 2 +0.7
M. Diop 31 8-10 0-0 5-6 9 1 0 5 1 21 25 +11.7
N. Meeusen 31 1-6 1-6 0-0 7 2 2 0 3 3 5 +3.6
A. Mukeba 28 3-4 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 2 2 10 15 +4.5
S. Trouet 25 5-12 0-2 0-1 10 3 3 1 1 10 14 -9.3
A. Grbović 24 0-5 0-4 4-7 2 0 0 0 0 4 1 -
A. Johnson 23 5-10 0-3 8-10 4 3 1 2 1 18 17 -3.7
T. Best 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter