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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Kansas State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 65.3% 34.7% -
Bradley-Terry 78.4% 21.6% -
Margin 86.5% 13.5% -10.2 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 61.6% 38.4% -
Efficiency 76.4% 23.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.0% 12.0% -
Log Adjusted 88.1% 11.9% -
Points Off/Def 68.9% 31.1% -

Actual: Kansas State Wildcats -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Wright III 37 6-15 2-2 4-6 4 5 0 0 4 18 8 +5.4
R. Saunders 35 4-15 3-11 2-2 3 3 2 0 2 13 4 +5.5
K. Davis Jr. 35 1-5 1-5 1-2 6 3 3 1 2 4 10 +4.4
AJ Dybantsa 33 8-15 1-2 7-10 8 3 3 0 7 24 16 +4.7
K. Keita 27 4-4 0-0 3-6 16 0 0 2 2 11 23 -4.0
M. Boskovic 17 3-5 2-3 1-1 3 1 1 0 1 9 8 +15.7
A. Ahmed 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 3 0 4 8 -
T. Mrus 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -1.1

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Haggerty 36 8-16 0-2 8-10 7 6 4 0 3 24 22 -2.9
N. Johnson 31 0-5 0-3 0-0 3 1 3 0 4 0 -2 -0.5
A. Bashir Jr. 30 5-13 3-8 3-3 4 2 0 0 1 16 8 +9.0
D. Castillo 27 6-14 0-5 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 13 0 -18.7
K. McGriff 25 5-7 0-1 2-2 8 2 1 1 0 12 17 -2.6
T. Manning 18 2-4 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 4 7 -6.8
D. Buca 15 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 3 1 0 1 0 2 -3.6
M. Ikegwuruka 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 2 1 -2.5
CJ Jones 4 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -3.7

* = starter