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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 60.7% 39.3% -
Bradley-Terry 82.8% 17.2% -
Margin 83.9% 16.1% -9.1 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.8% 46.2% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Log Adjusted 89.9% 10.1% -
Points Off/Def 67.8% 32.2% -

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -7 (60-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Flemings 38 7-18 2-5 3-5 3 6 5 0 1 19 14 +6.4
M. Uzan 32 7-14 4-7 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 18 9 +5.5
E. Sharp 28 0-9 0-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 2 -5 +14.5
J. Tugler 26 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 4 2 2 8 15 +9.2
C. Cenac Jr. 24 2-6 0-3 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 4 6 +14.4
I. Harwell 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2.1
R. Walker Jr. 14 1-3 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -5.2
K. Sakho 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -3.2
M. Miller 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.2
C. McCarty 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3.0

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. James 36 1-7 0-3 2-2 4 4 0 0 3 4 2 -3.5
B. Miller 32 4-7 0-2 3-7 8 3 1 0 4 11 12 -7.8
D. Thomas 32 4-10 2-5 5-5 2 4 0 2 4 15 9 +2.4
M. Thiam 28 6-7 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 13 9 -3.9
J. Celestine 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 4 +8.6
S. Harris 18 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 0 -3.1
H. Dzellat 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -2.1
S. Abaev 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -7.4
K. Kriisa 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -3.5

* = starter