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2026-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Cincinnati Bearcats Spread Result
Elo 67.7% 32.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 74.5% 25.5% - โœ“
Margin 82.0% 18.0% -8.4 โœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 53.3% 46.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 86.6% 13.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.1% 10.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.3% 10.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 65.8% 34.2% - โœ“

Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -7 (60-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kingston Flemings 38 7-18 2-5 3-5 3 6 5 0 1 19 14 +3.3
Milos Uzan 32 7-14 4-7 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 18 9 +2.0
Emanuel Sharp 28 0-9 0-5 2-2 3 2 0 0 3 2 -5 +12.3
Joseph Tugler 26 4-5 0-0 0-0 7 1 4 2 2 8 15 +5.3
Chris Cenac Jr 24 2-6 0-3 0-0 8 0 0 0 0 4 6 +12.3
Isiah Harwell 16 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -3.5
Ramon Walker Jr. 14 1-3 1-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -5.5
Kalifa Sakho 12 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 4 -2.9
Mercy Miller 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.7
Chase McCarty 4 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.8

Cincinnati Bearcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jizzle James 36 1-7 0-3 2-2 4 4 0 0 3 4 2 +2.7
Baba Miller 32 4-7 0-2 3-7 8 3 1 0 4 11 12 -0.3
D. Thomas 32 4-10 2-5 5-5 2 4 0 2 4 15 9 +9.2
Moustapha Thiam 28 6-7 1-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 13 9 +0.1
Jalen Celestine 26 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 6 4 +12.9
Sencire Harris 18 1-7 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1.4
Halvine Dzellat 12 2-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 5 -0.6
Shon Abaev 9 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -7.0
Kerr Kriisa 7 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -2.5

* = starter