Model Predictions
| Model | Towson Tigers | James Madison Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: James Madison Dukes +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Towson Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Tejada * | 36 | 9-20 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 9 | -0.3 |
| D. Williamson * | 33 | 3-13 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -4.4 |
| C. Embeya * | 27 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 17 | -2.3 |
| T. Schmidt * | 21 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -9.1 |
| C. Ndefo * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -3.2 |
| J. Doumbia | 30 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | +9.7 |
| J. Womack | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
| T. Coleman | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +3.7 |
| M. Seck | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1.1 |
| A. Samb | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.9 |
| R. Conway | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.9 |
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Ricks III * | 36 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 21 | +0.5 |
| C. Davis * | 33 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +2.6 |
| B. Douglas * | 32 | 6-8 | 6-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +2.2 |
| J. McBride * | 30 | 8-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | +3.5 |
| G. Newhof * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +1.3 |
| C. Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Taylor | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.0 |
| P. Jones III | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | -1.9 |
| P. Lewis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
| P. Fowler | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| E. Wilborn | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.8 |
* = starter