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2025-12-05

Model Predictions

Model UIC Flames Ohio Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 26.1% 73.9% - โœ“
Margin 25.2% 74.8% +6.0 โœ“ (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 44.3% 55.7% - โœ“
Efficiency 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio Bobcats +2 (72-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UIC Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Samantha Serrano 35 5-15 3-9 5-8 7 3 1 1 5 18 10 +9.8
Sara Zabrecky 33 5-9 5-9 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 16 8 +0.0
Magdalena Winter 30 1-2 0-0 1-4 7 1 0 0 3 3 6 +14.3
Julia Coleman 29 6-12 0-0 3-5 8 4 3 1 2 15 17 +5.0
Tutu Clayton 25 1-5 1-4 1-2 3 4 1 0 6 4 1 -15.7
Crystal Ortiz 19 4-7 3-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 1 11 10 -4.5
Grace Harris 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 2 +10.5
Megen Sanaj 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.4
Jarius Powers 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.5
London Walker-George 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.6

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bailey Tabeling 33 5-15 4-12 3-4 5 2 4 0 5 17 8 -10.0
Bella Ranallo 31 6-13 3-6 3-10 7 6 5 0 1 18 22 +18.6
Asiah Baxter 29 3-7 3-6 1-2 5 0 1 0 3 10 6 +2.0
Gigi Bower 23 4-8 1-5 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 5 -16.4
Danni Scully 22 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 0 2 3 6 -6.6
Aliah McWhorter 19 2-3 0-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 3 +5.7
Elli Garnett 18 2-8 1-6 2-3 3 1 1 0 1 7 3 +3.9
Monica Williams 14 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 0 2 -16.3
A. Jennings 9 1-4 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 1 +2.9
Vivienne Macheck 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2

* = starter