Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | BYU Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.1% | 81.9% | +8.1 | ✓ (5.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.9% | 40.1% | -4.4 | ✗ (18.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: BYU Cougars +14 (83-69). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenzie Hare * | 36 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 6 | -13.1 |
| Audi Crooks * | 27 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | -12.2 |
| Jada Williams * | 24 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | -2.5 |
| Arianna Jackson * | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -9.2 |
| Evangelia Paulk * | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Reese Beaty | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -7.3 |
| Sydney Harris | 23 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | -12.5 |
| Alisa Williams | 8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1.3 |
| Reagan Wilson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.7 |
| Lilly Taulelei | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.5 |
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Benally * | 32 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +15.7 |
| Delaney Gibb * | 30 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +7.3 |
| Lara Rohkohl * | 29 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 15 | +7.0 |
| Marya Hudgins * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +14.9 |
| Brinley Cannon * | 19 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | +7.8 |
| Olivia Hamlin | 30 | 9-18 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 9 | +8.1 |
| Kambree Barber | 16 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | +9.8 |
| Bolanle Yussuf | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +12.5 |
| Arielle Mackey-Williams | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.1 |
| Hattie Ogden | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter