Model Predictions
| Model | Arizona State Sun Devils | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.0% | 90.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (11.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +8.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.2% | 68.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +3 (67-64). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Elliott * | 37 | 9-17 | 2-5 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 10 | - |
| McKinna Brackens * | 35 | 3-13 | 0-2 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Marley Washenitz * | 33 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Last-Tear Poa * | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Heloisa Carrera * | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jyah LoVett | 23 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Deborah Davenport | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Martina Fantini | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Amaya Williams | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 36 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Taliah Scott * | 35 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 31 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 16 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Marcayla Johnson | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kyla Abraham | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Kayla Nelms | 15 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Yuting Deng | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter