Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Cincinnati Bearcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | -12.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.1% | 17.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 92.2% | 7.8% | -13.6 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 92.7% | 7.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.7% | 6.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.6% | 24.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cincinnati Bearcats -6 (70-76). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 39 | 7-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 37 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 13 | +1.4 |
| Taliah Scott * | 36 | 7-19 | 5-11 | 7-9 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | +4.5 |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 14 | +1.2 |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -12.1 |
| Kyla Abraham | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +5.0 |
| Marcayla Johnson | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.3 |
| Yuting Deng | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
Cincinnati Bearcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mya Perry * | 36 | 7-19 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | +8.6 |
| Caliyah DeVillasee * | 29 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | -0.5 |
| Reagan Jackson * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Kylie Torrence * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | -6.1 |
| Destiny Thomas * | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -4.2 |
| Joya Crawford | 27 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | +3.0 |
| Ramiyah Byrd | 15 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +1.9 |
| Mary Carden | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.2 |
| Dee Alexander | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +9.4 |
| Alliance Ndiba | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Delaney Snyder | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.5 |
* = starter