Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.7% | 98.3% | +30.7 | ✓ (14.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.0% | 93.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +25.4 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +16 (82-66). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Peguero * | 37 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | +13.5 |
| Kyndall Hunter * | 31 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | +10.3 |
| Kierra Merchant * | 30 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | +2.0 |
| TK Pitts * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -0.4 |
| Amirah Abdur-Rahim * | 26 | 7-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 10 | +5.8 |
| Kayla King | 16 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | -3.1 |
| Jorynn Ross | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -7.8 |
| Jade Jones | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +25.2 |
| Amani Bartlett | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -0.7 |
| Shun'teria Anumele | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.4 |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 36 | 10-11 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 21 | +11.9 |
| Taliah Scott * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | -4.3 |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 28 | 5-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | +1.7 |
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | 5 | -12.3 |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -14.7 |
| Kyla Abraham | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 12 | -2.4 |
| Marcayla Johnson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -0.9 |
| Yuting Deng | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -17.5 |
| Ines Goryanova | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +7.3 |
| Kayla Nelms | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.8 |
* = starter