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2026-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 48.9% 51.1% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 54.0% 46.0% - โœ“
Margin 69.1% 30.9% -4.4 โœ“ (6.6 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.5% 19.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 58.0% 42.0% - โœ“

Actual: BYU Cougars -11 (58-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs 35 2-7 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 1 4 4 5 +16.5
Jana Van Gytenbeek 34 2-4 1-3 2-2 1 4 0 0 5 7 3 -5.4
Taliah Scott 32 8-21 5-14 4-4 6 5 0 0 3 25 12 +9.1
Bella Fontleroy 27 4-11 2-6 2-2 5 0 0 1 1 12 6 -8.5
Kiersten Johnson 18 3-4 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 6 7 +7.6
Marcayla Johnson 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 5 7 +6.8
Kyla Abraham 14 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 4 4 -10.3
Yuting Deng 13 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 +9.5
Kayla Nelms 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 +5.5
Ines Goryanova 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +3.7

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sydney Benally 37 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 6 5 -3.0
Delaney Gibb 32 7-21 3-12 3-5 6 4 1 1 2 20 9 -9.0
Olivia Hamlin 27 4-9 0-4 2-3 3 1 2 1 3 10 5 +11.6
Kambree Barber 24 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 3 0 0 2 5 +3.3
Marya Hudgins 20 1-8 0-4 2-2 1 0 0 0 3 4 -6 -5.8
Bolanle Yussuf 20 3-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 3 2 7 6 +6.2
Brinley Cannon 20 1-6 0-4 0-2 3 0 1 0 3 2 -3 -9.4
Lara Rohkohl 20 2-5 0-0 3-4 10 0 2 1 0 7 15 -7.1
Braeden Gunlock 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter