Model Predictions
| Model | Baylor Bears | Iowa State Cyclones | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.7% | 47.3% | -6.4 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.6% | 55.4% | +2.4 | ✗ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Iowa State Cyclones -2 (70-72). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 40 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 28 | - |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Taliah Scott * | 31 | 6-24 | 1-10 | 8-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | -1 | - |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 22 | 3-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Yuting Deng | 19 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Kyla Abraham | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kayla Nelms | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marcayla Johnson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arianna Jackson * | 35 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Audi Crooks * | 34 | 11-20 | 0-2 | 4-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 14 | - |
| Kenzie Hare * | 33 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Jada Williams * | 31 | 11-28 | 6-17 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 28 | 5 | - |
| Addy Brown * | 30 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| Reese Beaty | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Sydney Harris | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Alisa Williams | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Reagan Wilson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Lilly Taulelei | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Evangelia Paulk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter