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2025-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Oklahoma State Cowgirls Spread Result
Elo 46.2% 53.8% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Margin 30.9% 69.1% +4.4 โœ— (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 45.3% 54.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 23.2% 76.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 38.6% 61.4% - โœ—

Actual: Oklahoma State Cowgirls -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bella Fontleroy 36 1-8 1-5 3-4 6 3 3 1 1 6 10 +10.1
Taliah Scott 35 5-8 1-3 13-15 2 1 1 0 2 24 18 +16.9
Jana Van Gytenbeek 35 6-13 4-8 1-2 4 8 0 0 2 17 14 +2.8
Yuting Deng 19 2-6 0-3 0-0 5 1 2 1 1 4 6 +25.7
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs 16 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 6 2 -8.2
Kyla Abraham 15 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 1 2 5 3 +3.4
Marcayla Johnson 14 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4 -14.4
Kayla Nelms 13 4-6 0-0 2-2 8 2 0 0 1 10 13 +14.8
Kiersten Johnson 12 2-5 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 5 0 -13.2
Ella Brow 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 +5.2

Oklahoma State Cowgirls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Amari Whiting 37 4-11 1-4 1-3 7 2 0 0 4 10 4 +0.5
Stailee Heard 36 4-9 1-5 1-1 3 2 0 0 3 10 3 -2.3
Haleigh Timmer 34 1-6 0-5 2-4 3 1 1 0 1 4 2 -12.5
Achol Akot 29 6-10 0-0 2-2 10 3 1 0 2 14 16 -9.0
Micah Gray 27 4-13 3-11 3-5 0 0 0 0 3 14 -2 -3.0
Jadyn Wooten 23 7-15 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 2 16 6 +11.7
Praise Egharevba 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 0 7 +3.5
Tyla Heard 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -4.3

* = starter