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2025-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Lady Raiders Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 31.9% 68.1% +1.4 ✗ (2.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 38.6% 61.4% - ✗
Margin 43.8% 56.2% +2.8 ✗ (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 56.4% 43.6% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% - ✗
Log Adjusted 50.4% 49.6% - ✓
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - ✗

Actual: Baylor Bears -1 (60-61). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Texas Tech Lady Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Nuñez * 36 2-4 0-2 1-2 5 6 2 0 4 5 10 -
Denae Fritz * 33 0-6 0-3 2-2 0 0 2 0 0 2 -2 -
Jalynn Bristow * 33 3-11 2-7 0-1 7 2 1 0 5 8 2 -
Bailey Maupin * 29 4-14 1-6 2-2 3 1 3 0 5 11 -1 -
Sarengbe Sanogo * 23 3-3 0-0 0-2 6 1 0 3 2 6 11 -
Snudda Collins 19 6-12 1-2 8-8 3 1 0 0 0 21 13 -
Jada Malone 14 4-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 8 7 -
Sidney Love 13 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jana Van Gytenbeek * 40 3-9 2-6 3-4 0 7 3 0 3 11 9 -
Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * 33 5-10 0-2 3-4 7 2 1 0 5 13 8 -
Marcayla Johnson * 32 3-9 0-1 0-1 6 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
Bella Fontleroy * 29 0-8 0-5 0-0 6 0 1 0 3 0 -4 -
Kiersten Johnson * 21 0-3 0-1 2-2 6 0 2 2 1 2 8 -
Yuting Deng 24 7-11 4-5 4-7 3 0 1 0 3 22 12 -
Kyla Abraham 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 6 4 -
Kayla Nelms 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Taliah Scott 2 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter