Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Tech Lady Raiders | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | +1.4 | ✗ (2.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +2.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Baylor Bears -1 (60-61). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Texas Tech Lady Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Nuñez * | 36 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 10 | - |
| Denae Fritz * | 33 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jalynn Bristow * | 33 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Bailey Maupin * | 29 | 4-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -1 | - |
| Sarengbe Sanogo * | 23 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Snudda Collins | 19 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 13 | - |
| Jada Malone | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Sidney Love | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 40 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 33 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Marcayla Johnson * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 29 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Yuting Deng | 24 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 4-7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Kyla Abraham | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Kayla Nelms | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Taliah Scott | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter