Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado Buffaloes | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.0% | 49.0% | -0.2 | ✗ (16.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +16 (79-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado Buffaloes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anaelle Dutat | 34 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | -7.2 |
| Jade Masogayo | 30 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | -3.2 |
| Desiree Wooten | 29 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | -12.9 |
| Zyanna Walker | 28 | 5-10 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | -20.3 |
| Maeve McErlane | 24 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Tabitha Betson | 18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -13.6 |
| Logyn Greer | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -6.8 |
| Jade Crook | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -4.4 |
| Erianna Gooden | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Sophia Zadel | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.8 |
| JoJo Nworie | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Elliott | 38 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +18.2 |
| Marley Washenitz | 33 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 12 | +15.0 |
| McKinna Brackens | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +1.3 |
| Heloisa Carrera | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 8 | +21.3 |
| Deborah Davenport | 20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | +16.9 |
| Jyah LoVett | 20 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +10.7 |
| Amaya Williams | 15 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +7.9 |
| L. Poa | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +5.1 |
| Martina Fantini | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.4 |
* = starter