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2025-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Marshall Thundering Herd Ohio Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 55.4% 44.6% - ✗
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 ✓ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% - ✗
Points Off/Def 49.8% 50.2% - ✓

Actual: Ohio Bobcats +7 (88-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Marshall Thundering Herd

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Speer 33 4-13 1-7 4-4 3 5 0 0 4 13 4 -7.0
Wyatt Fricks 30 8-13 2-4 0-1 8 1 0 0 0 18 14 +2.1
Noah Otshudi 30 8-11 1-2 4-5 1 3 0 0 5 21 9 +0.4
Caleb Hollenbeck 29 1-6 1-6 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 3 4 -9.1
Matt Van Komen 24 2-6 0-0 5-6 8 2 0 5 1 9 17 -8.3
Wilson Dubinsky 19 1-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -2.4
Shamarrie Hugie 11 2-3 1-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 6 -5.5
Erich Harding 10 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 6 5 +3.5
Landen Joseph 9 0-2 0-2 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 1 3 +0.3
A. Fuquay 5 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 1 0 3 4 -

Ohio Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jackson Paveletzke 37 8-15 1-5 5-5 1 3 1 0 3 22 9 +6.8
Aidan Hadaway 34 7-13 4-7 1-2 11 1 0 1 0 19 19 +3.2
Ajay Sheldon 26 4-7 3-6 0-0 2 2 2 0 0 11 10 -0.5
Elijah Elliott 25 0-2 0-0 0-2 3 1 1 0 0 0 3 +1.7
JJ Kelly 23 5-9 1-3 1-1 3 1 0 0 1 12 6 +6.6
Javan Simmons 23 3-9 0-1 7-8 4 5 1 1 3 13 12 +3.4
Jalen Breath 17 0-2 0-0 6-10 3 0 0 0 1 6 6 +2.4
Dior Conners 7 2-2 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 +3.8
Kiir Kuany 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 2 +4.9
Jesse Burris 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

* = starter