Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 58.3% | 41.7% | -1.8 | β (15.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | β |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -17 (66-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 25 | +9.8 |
| Coen Carr * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -3.5 |
| Jaxon Kohler * | 27 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +1.2 |
| Carson Cooper * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Trey Fort * | 18 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -8.2 |
| Cameron Ward | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +8.1 |
| Kur Teng | 18 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +12.9 |
| Jordan Scott | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +14.0 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -3.1 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Denham Wojcik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3.8 |
| Nick Sanders | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Colin Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brennan Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Otega Oweh * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | +0.5 |
| Denzel Aberdeen * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | +1.3 |
| Collin Chandler * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -7.0 |
| Mouhamed Dioubate * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Brandon Garrison * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Malachi Moreno | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | +3.9 |
| Kam Williams | 17 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Jasper Johnson | 14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -3.5 |
| Trent Noah | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| A. JelaviΔ | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
* = starter