Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.1% | 37.9% | - | β |
| Margin | 59.1% | 40.9% | -2.0 | β (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 92.1% | 7.9% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | β |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats -17 (66-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fears Jr. * | 31 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 25 | +18.0 |
| C. Carr * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | +8.1 |
| J. Kohler * | 27 | 8-12 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 14 | +12.7 |
| C. Cooper * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +8.8 |
| T. Fort * | 18 | 5-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 3 | -0.1 |
| K. Teng | 18 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +17.4 |
| C. Ward | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +11.7 |
| J. Scott | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | +19.9 |
| J. McCulloch | 9 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +2.7 |
| D. Ugochukwu | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +0.8 |
| D. Wojcik | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.6 |
| B. Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| N. Sanders | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Oweh * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -17.7 |
| D. Aberdeen * | 31 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | -14.1 |
| C. Chandler * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -20.8 |
| M. Dioubate * | 21 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -9.3 |
| B. Garrison * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -15.2 |
| M. Moreno | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 13 | -1.9 |
| K. Williams | 17 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | +0.2 |
| J. Johnson | 14 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -3.2 |
| T. Noah | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -1.3 |
| A. JelaviΔ | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter