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2025-11-13

Model Predictions

Model San José State Spartans Michigan State Spartans Spread Result
Elo 2.8% 97.2% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 4.4% 95.6% - ✓
Margin 0.7% 99.3% +27.0 ✓ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 17.5% 82.5% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 8.1% 91.9% - ✓

Actual: Michigan State Spartans +19 (79-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San José State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jermaine Washington * 35 3-10 2-7 1-1 0 5 0 0 2 9 2 -0.9
Colby Garland * 35 10-16 2-2 0-1 3 3 1 0 1 22 12 +5.4
Yaphet Moundi * 31 1-5 0-2 11-16 11 1 2 0 0 13 22 +2.8
Ben Roseborough * 28 3-10 2-7 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 8 -1 +6.0
Sadraque NgaNga * 27 3-7 2-5 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 8 5 +2.0
Melvin Bell Jr. 28 0-7 0-4 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 0 0 -14.5
Marcus Overstreet 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -4.4
Douglas Langford 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -7.2
Jaden Goodall 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

Michigan State Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jeremy Fears Jr. * 31 4-7 3-5 4-4 5 9 0 0 3 15 19 +8.4
Coen Carr * 31 4-7 0-1 0-1 4 5 1 2 2 8 11 +10.7
Jaxon Kohler * 30 5-12 1-5 6-6 18 1 0 2 2 17 24 +10.5
Carson Cooper * 27 6-7 0-0 5-10 7 2 4 1 1 17 23 -4.5
Trey Fort * 16 1-6 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 -2 -6.0
Kur Teng 19 4-8 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 10 4 +10.0
Cameron Ward 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 7 8 +9.9
Jordan Scott 12 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -10.1
Divine Ugochukwu 9 1-4 0-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 0 3 1 -3.6
Jesse McCulloch 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -2.1
Denham Wojcik 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1.1
Nick Sanders 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.8

* = starter