Model Predictions
| Model | Colgate Raiders | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.5% | 99.5% | +29.5 | ✓ (18.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.8% | 95.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colgate Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Alekseyenko | 35 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 4 | +2.6 |
| Jalen Cox | 33 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 19 | +9.1 |
| Sam Wright | 30 | 7-13 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +5.9 |
| Ben Tweedy | 30 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Brady Cummins | 29 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 3 | +0.0 |
| Kyle Carlesimo | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.6 |
| Josh Ahayere | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -0.3 |
| Cooper Wright | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.3 |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 23 | +9.4 |
| Jaxon Kohler | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6-9 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 27 | +14.0 |
| Carson Cooper | 28 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -6.3 |
| Coen Carr | 27 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | -2.0 |
| Trey Fort | 19 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -3.0 |
| Jordan Scott | 18 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Kur Teng | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Cameron Ward | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -2.6 |
| Divine Ugochukwu | 8 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -2.4 |
| Jesse McCulloch | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -7.5 |
| Denham Wojcik | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -7.9 |
* = starter