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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Hoosiers Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Margin 25.1% 74.9% +6.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.7% 54.3% - โœ“

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (72-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Hoosiers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tucker DeVries 35 4-13 1-9 6-6 7 3 1 1 4 15 10 +0.0
Conor Enright 30 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 0 3 -10.9
Sam Alexis 30 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 3 6 7 -10.9
Trent Sisley 26 0-3 0-2 6-6 7 1 0 0 1 6 10 -13.4
Tayton Conerway 24 3-6 1-3 4-6 1 1 0 0 4 11 3 -8.6
Lamar Wilkerson 22 5-11 2-5 3-4 2 0 0 0 1 15 5 -5.7
Nick Dorn 22 0-3 0-3 7-7 5 0 0 0 2 7 7 -5.4
Reed Bailey 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 0 +1.2
Aleksa Ristic 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1
Ian Stephens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.1
Jasai Miles 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.8

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Otega Oweh 33 2-8 1-2 5-8 4 1 2 0 0 10 9 +11.3
Denzel Aberdeen 25 3-7 1-1 2-4 1 0 0 0 1 9 2 -7.0
Kam Williams 24 3-5 1-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 9 7 +15.8
Jaland Lowe 24 5-13 0-3 3-6 5 2 1 0 0 13 8 +24.1
Mouhamed Dioubate 22 4-7 0-0 6-10 12 0 5 0 0 14 24 +18.1
Malachi Moreno 21 0-0 0-0 3-4 2 3 4 2 0 3 14 +0.3
Brandon Garrison 21 3-6 0-2 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 6 7 +6.9
Collin Chandler 16 1-7 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -7.5
Trent Noah 11 1-3 0-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 0 4 3 -1.5
Jasper Johnson 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 +5.0

* = starter