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2026-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Alabama A&M Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 20.8% 79.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% -
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 44.3% 55.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% -
Log Adjusted 36.5% 63.5% -
Points Off/Def 40.0% 60.0% -

Actual: Alabama A&M Bulldogs -1 (88-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Simpson 36 8-11 5-8 3-4 5 3 1 0 1 24 21 +5.4
J. Stanback 30 3-10 0-0 2-2 7 2 2 1 0 8 10 -5.4
C. Palesse 26 1-2 0-0 5-7 1 2 0 0 1 7 7 -8.7
T. Byrd 24 5-8 1-2 1-1 1 1 2 0 3 12 5 +7.4
T. Mason 23 9-10 1-1 1-2 6 0 0 0 0 20 16 +5.9
T. Mack 19 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 2 2 +1.0
A. Anderson 14 1-3 1-2 2-2 0 2 0 0 1 5 3 -4.5
J. Walker 12 1-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D. Yates 11 2-5 1-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 5 1 +6.2
M. Andrews 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -1.1

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Eason 36 2-2 0-0 2-5 7 2 0 2 2 6 13 -4.6
Ko. Davis 34 11-20 3-7 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 26 12 -3.5
J. Graham 27 2-7 1-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 7 1 -1.6
K. Dozier 25 4-8 1-2 1-2 2 4 0 0 2 10 6 -7.8
J. Carruth 21 5-5 3-3 3-4 4 0 1 0 0 16 16 +0.9
S. Pissis 21 1-3 0-2 1-2 4 5 1 0 1 3 9 -1.0
B. Abdur-Rahman 18 5-5 1-1 2-4 2 4 2 0 0 13 16 +8.6
L. Hutchinson 13 1-4 1-3 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 +1.2
S. Onu 5 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 +2.9

* = starter