Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Florida A&M Rattlers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Florida A&M Rattlers +13 (76-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson | 35 | 2-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -12.6 |
| Cam Palesse | 34 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 4-6 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -10.7 |
| Tyler Mack | 28 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 24 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -8.0 |
| Tyler Byrd | 22 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | +5.6 |
| D. Yates | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | -9.3 |
| Tyler Mason | 15 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Jasteven Walker | 13 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 7 | -3.2 |
| Mario Andrews | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
| R'Chaun King | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.5 |
Florida A&M Rattlers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Octave | 39 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 13 | +7.9 |
| Jaquan Sanders | 38 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 8 | +4.2 |
| Antonio Baker | 37 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 19 | +14.8 |
| Jordan Chatman | 26 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | +4.6 |
| Tyler Shirley | 26 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | +12.0 |
| Miles Ndalama | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8-13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | -4.2 |
| Tuscan Onuoha | 8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | -0.5 |
| Lenard Taylor Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.6 |
| Anquan Boldin Jr. | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
* = starter