Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 38.1% | 61.9% | +2.7 | ✓ (15.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quion Williams | 39 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 6-8 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 13 | - |
| Jaquan Scott | 37 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Milhan Charles | 35 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Trevon Payton | 30 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Alex Mirhosseini | 30 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| Anthony Sellars | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Ahmad Johnson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Dennis Asoro | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Kyle Brown | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Micah Simpson | 32 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Cam Palesse | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -1 | - |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 26 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| Tyler Mack | 24 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Byrd | 22 | 4-10 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Mario Andrews | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Asjon Anderson | 15 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jasteven Walker | 15 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| D. Yates | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| R'Chaun King | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter