🐻⬇️🏀

Florida A&M Rattlers 66
@
Alabama State Hornets 79
2026-02-02

Model Predictions

Model Florida A&M Rattlers Alabama State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 74.3% 25.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 60.6% 39.4% - ✗
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 ✓ (10.7 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - ✓
Efficiency 5.8% 94.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.6% 48.4% - ✗
Log Adjusted 51.4% 48.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 43.9% 56.1% - ✓

Actual: Alabama State Hornets +13 (79-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida A&M Rattlers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Shirley 35 8-16 2-3 4-6 6 1 2 0 4 22 11 -
M. Octave 34 5-8 2-4 0-0 13 2 4 1 2 12 22 -
J. Sanders 33 1-6 0-5 3-4 2 3 2 0 4 5 2 -
M. Ndalama 27 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 -
J. Chatman 26 2-8 1-6 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 7 1 -
K. Washington 23 6-9 1-2 5-6 1 2 2 0 3 18 11 -
A. Baker Jr. 20 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 -3 -
A. Knowles 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Simpson 35 5-16 3-9 2-3 5 6 1 0 4 15 7 -
T. Byrd 30 4-9 1-4 8-8 2 4 4 0 2 17 16 -
C. Palesse 29 5-8 2-2 2-3 7 2 0 0 5 14 10 -
T. Mack 26 3-7 3-7 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 6 -
J. Walker 26 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 3 0 0 0 0 7 -
J. Stanback 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 5 2 8 9 -
D. Yates 16 6-8 2-2 0-2 2 1 2 0 3 14 8 -
M. Andrews 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 5 -
R. King 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter