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2026-01-26

Model Predictions

Model Alabama State Hornets Texas Southern Tigers Spread Result
Elo 23.4% 76.6% -
Bradley-Terry 39.2% 60.8% -
Margin 41.1% 58.9% +2.0 (30.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 87.6% 12.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.3% 57.7% -
Log Adjusted 42.6% 57.4% -
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% -

Actual: Texas Southern Tigers +32 (96-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Byrd 34 9-17 3-6 8-13 8 0 4 1 4 29 21 -
M. Simpson 29 1-9 0-6 0-0 1 4 0 0 1 2 -3 -
T. Mack 22 2-8 1-6 1-3 2 1 1 0 0 6 2 -
J. Stanback 21 4-8 0-2 5-7 6 1 0 1 1 13 12 -
D. Yates 21 2-4 0-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
A. Anderson 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 -2 -
J. Walker 16 3-8 1-4 0-0 6 0 1 2 1 7 7 -
C. Palesse 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Alabi 11 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
J. Marshall 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 -
M. Andrews 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. King 5 0-3 0-0 3-4 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

Texas Southern Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hupstead 29 3-7 0-1 4-4 16 1 0 2 1 10 21 -
Z. Hayes 27 6-11 3-7 2-2 2 1 1 0 0 17 10 -
A. Anderson 26 5-6 0-0 6-6 5 4 0 0 2 16 17 -
B. Roberts 23 3-10 3-9 4-4 0 3 2 0 0 13 8 -
Z. Mortle 21 3-9 1-4 2-3 5 4 1 0 1 9 9 -
J. Gorecki 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 2 2 3 -
D. Posey 19 5-6 0-0 0-1 4 1 0 1 1 10 9 -
J. Wysinger 19 4-7 4-7 3-4 2 4 0 0 2 15 12 -
A. Andrews 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 3 0 1 3 7 -
J. Akpovwa 7 0-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 -

* = starter