Model Predictions
| Model | Alcorn State Braves | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.4% | 80.6% | +7.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets +15 (81-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alcorn State Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Lancaster | 34 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 13 | -10.1 |
| Jameel Morris | 33 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Davian Williams | 28 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -0.3 |
| Nick Woodard | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 2 | -9.1 |
| Tycen McDaniels | 25 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 9 | -10.0 |
| Omari Hamilton | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | -1.6 |
| Travis Roberts | 19 | 3-9 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 2 | -15.8 |
| Bryson Calamese | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -8.1 |
| Jeremy Ellis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.1 |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asjon Anderson | 34 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 13 | +8.6 |
| Micah Simpson | 30 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | +13.4 |
| Demarien Yates | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 13 | +5.9 |
| Tyler Mack | 21 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Tyler Byrd | 20 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | +6.9 |
| Jerquarius Stanback | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +4.8 |
| Jasteven Walker | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Cam Palesse | 12 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2.5 |
| Tyler Mason | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -3.2 |
| R'Chaun King | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +10.9 |
| Mario Andrews | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter